Asteroid 2024 YR4 is a rubble pile with a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth next decade. (dzika_mrowka/Getty Images) An asteroid that could level a city now has a 3.1-percent chance of striking Earth in 2032, according to NASA data released Tuesday – making it the most threatening space rock ever recorded by modern forecasting.
https://www.sciencealert.com/odds-of-city-killer-asteroid-impact-in-2032-now-even-higher-says-nasa