Core CPI Prints Cooler Than Expected Despite Biggest Jump In Energy Prices Since 2005

April 10, 2026

Core CPI Prints Cooler Than Expected Despite Biggest Jump In Energy Prices Since 2005

While PCE showed some signs of higher energy prices leaking into inflation prints, it was still February data. As we previewed, today’s CPI data is for March and will bear the full brunt of the Iran War’s impact on energy costs after Core CPI fell to its lowest in four years in February.

The headline CPI soared 0.9% MoM (as expected) and while it was a big MoM jump, Consumer Prices rose 3.3% YoY (up from +2.4% YoY in February), but below the 3.4% YoY exp…

Source: Bloomberg

This is the highest headline CPI YoY since April 2024 and biggest MoM jump since June 2022.

Obviously, Energy dominated the rise in headline CPI…

That was Gasoline’s biggest rise on record since 1967 – accounting for two-thirds of the rise in headline CPI…

Core CPI (excluding Energy and Food prices) printed cooler than expected (+0.2% MoM vs +0.3% MoM exp) with the Core YoY rising only modestly from February…

Source: Bloomberg

Core Services costs slowed modestly…

Source: Bloomberg

Obviously, short-term (annualized) CPI is exploding higher…

SuperCore CPI (Services ex-Shelter) lifted very modestly on a YoY basis with Transportation Services the biggest driver…

Source: Bloomberg

Nothing too surprising here for policymakers to fret over and rate-cut odds are modestly higher since the print.

The market seems willing right now to look through the spike – let’s just hope the ’70s analog is not about to play out.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 04/10/2026 – 08:41

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/core-cpi-prints-cooler-expected-despite-biggest-jump-energy-prices-2005

Core CPI Prints Cooler Than Expected Despite Biggest Jump In Energy Prices Since 2005 <body> <h1> Array ( [0] => xore cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [1] => vore cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [2] => fore cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [3] => dore cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [4] => cire cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [5] => ckre cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [6] => clre cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [7] => cpre cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [8] => c0re cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2005 [9] => c9re cpi prints cooler than expected despite 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biggest jump in energy prices s9nce 2005 [347] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices s8nce 2005 [348] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sibce 2005 [349] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices simce 2005 [350] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sijce 2005 [351] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sihce 2005 [352] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sinxe 2005 [353] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sinve 2005 [354] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sinfe 2005 [355] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sinde 2005 [356] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sincw 2005 [357] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sincs 2005 [358] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sincd 2005 [359] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sincr 2005 [360] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sinc4 2005 [361] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices sinc3 2005 [362] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 1005 [363] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since q005 [364] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since w005 [365] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 3005 [366] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2905 [367] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2o05 [368] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2p05 [369] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2-05 [370] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2095 [371] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 20o5 [372] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 20p5 [373] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 20-5 [374] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2004 [375] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 200r [376] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 200t [377] => core cpi prints cooler than expected despite biggest jump in energy prices since 2006 ) </h1> 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