Looks like reps will gain about 50 seats nationwide

1992 G.H.W. Bush 34%, Bush lost reelection to Bill Clinton 2008 G.W. Bush 28%, his replacement McCain lost to Obama 2020 Trump 43%, Trump lost reelection to Biden 2024 Biden 41%, his replacement Harris lost to Trump. Biden was at 41% overall job approval and somewhere his disapproval on handling most issues was somewhere between 55-65%.

https://debatepolitics.com/threads/looks-like-reps-will-gain-about-50-seats-nationwide.555782/page-2