Posted in Web Risk of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 rises to record level February 19, 2025 Initial projections gave the asteroid little more than a 1% chance of impacting Earth on Dec. 22, 2032. Those odds have steadily increased since then and now stand at a record 3.1%. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2025/02/19/asteroid-yr4-hitting-earth-odds-2032-nasa/79167778007/