Top Dolphins-Patriots prop bet predictions from Chris Perkins, David Furones

MIAMI GARDENS — It’s Year 2 for Sun Sentinel Dolphins columnist Chris Perkins and Dolphins writer David Furones picking prop bets, which they’ll do for all 17 regular-season games, and this season promises to be more successful than last year.

Prior to each game, Furones and Perkins will select a “Best Bet” and a “Longshot.” The “Best Bet” selection is a near 50-50 proposition while the “Longshot” is at least +300 or a 3-to-1 probability.

They don’t place dollar amounts on their bets (neither wants to go broke), but you’re welcome to wager as much as you can afford.

Furones ended last year 11-6 on “Best Bets” while Perk was 9-8. On the “Longshot,” Furones ended 5-12 while Perk was a regrettable 2-15.

Last year’s records are still on display because both writers went 0 for 2 after not much went right for them nor the Dolphins after last Sunday’s opener against the Indianapolis Colts.

Perkins and Furones use the Hard Rock Bet app for odds. Be sure to check the Sun Sentinel game predictions for Sunday’s outlook.

Perk’s Best Bet: Dolphins under 20.5 (+115)

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I’m riding the theory that the lack of a strong connection between QB Tua Tagovailoa and WR Tyreek Hill will be just as costly against the Patriots as it was against the Colts in Week 1. I’m a believer that Tyreek is responsible for a large part of the Dolphins’ offensive success, and until the Tua-to-Tyreek connection is fixed this offense will struggle mightily.

Furones’ Best Bet: Tyreek Hill over 66.5 receiving yards (-115)

Standout Patriots cornerback Christian Gonzalez is out, which will help create mismatches for Hill. With everyone down on the Dolphins’ offense after the disaster against the Colts, you get Hill at a low number here as he’s sure to try to show out in the home opener. Plus, even as bad as last week was, he would’ve hit this number if Tua merely hit him when he was open on the early high throw that went for an interception. I’m fading Perk here.

Both writers missed the mark here last week, as Perk went with Tyreek before reversing course this week and Furones actually thought Miami would get Ollie Gordon involved early.

Perk’s Longshot: Hunter Henry 80+ yards receiving (+800)

The Dolphins have had problems covering tight ends since last season so this makes sense. Henry had four receptions for 66 yards in New England’s 20-13 loss to Las Vegas last week. He was targeted eight times. And we all saw Colts TE Tyler Warren burn the Dolphins last week with seven receptions for 76 yards. I’m thinking the trends continue.

Furones’ Longshot: Malik Washington anytime TD (+350)

I’m going back to Washington here, as I believe in the chemistry Tua has built with him and shown in the preseason. I could see a methodical drive ending in a short score, with Washington running a good underneath route and maybe picking up the yards after the catch.

Perk didn’t get a Jordyn Brooks sack last week, and Furones didn’t have enough offense go Washington’s way as the two missed.

https://www.orlandosentinel.com/2025/09/12/top-dolphins-patriots-prop-bet-predictions-from-chris-perkins-david-furones-3/