On Jan. 29, the chances of this asteroid (named 2024 YR4) striking our planet on Dec. 22, 2032, were 1.3 percent. Then they rose to 1.7 percent on Feb. 1, before dropping the next day to 1.4 percent .
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/08/science/asteroid-yr4-2024-impact-odds.html

